Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 91.767772 102.228561 112.907640 124.594791 136.995535 149.732675 163.775590
2024-12-29 76.247437 91.380195 107.484136 125.776917 145.862932 167.137853 191.267864
2025-01-05 67.588840 85.496341 105.132722 128.019752 153.729895 181.505797 213.571287
2025-01-12 58.935512 78.500164 100.564884 126.889516 157.061007 190.215110 229.062422
2025-01-19 50.959789 71.447959 95.195332 124.158608 157.972749 195.701392 240.492194
2025-01-26 47.880825 69.870320 95.898385 128.169517 166.356529 209.433129 261.048353
2025-02-02 44.679097 67.819495 95.773802 130.978280 173.162677 221.229104 279.308745
2025-02-09 39.959242 63.473219 92.543028 129.790413 175.036015 227.148345 290.678629
2025-02-16 35.781648 59.499182 89.499961 128.587565 176.686956 232.646012 301.427660
2025-02-23 33.010345 57.176634 88.365393 129.586683 180.867749 241.029207 315.476881
2025-03-02 30.064046 54.390967 86.456883 129.465818 183.564264 247.563527 327.291279
2025-03-09 27.875703 52.501885 85.591603 130.559234 187.671298 255.727038 340.996506
2025-03-16 24.961193 49.391928 82.988893 129.357996 188.916262 260.480505 350.734641
2025-03-23 23.321583 48.048244 82.691938 131.091623 193.802609 269.637960 365.755946
2025-03-30 21.987367 47.062406 82.810084 133.312050 199.264893 279.478282 381.596617
2025-04-06 19.704727 44.418131 80.476576 132.165301 200.357607 283.902830 390.861759
2025-04-13 17.146344 41.105829 77.020915 129.363244 199.206468 285.467483 396.584428
2025-04-20 16.737216 41.325686 78.655156 133.476076 207.006267 298.152613 415.887133
2025-04-27 16.023819 40.968850 79.406762 136.355250 213.192664 308.834173 432.761807
2025-05-04 14.311568 38.728374 77.257893 135.137666 213.952416 312.683166 441.227089
2025-05-11 12.743331 36.595227 75.161514 133.904612 214.623317 316.371573 449.460534
2025-05-18 11.814244 35.561954 74.693370 134.928827 218.263893 323.799367 462.317600
2025-05-25 10.708178 34.083490 73.459317 134.804930 220.330965 329.206316 472.656839